Predicting the prognosis of elderly hip fracture: Difference in two kinds of scores

doi:10.3969/j.issn.2095-4344.2013.48.022

Abstract

Abstract:

BACKGROUND: Patients with elder hip fracture has more complications, poor affordability and high perioperative risk, so the preoperative full preparation and evaluation are needed.
OBJECTIVE: To predict the accuracy of the prognosis of elderly patients with hip fracture through comparing the difference between American Society of Anesthesiologists score and Daping orthopedics operation risk scoring system for senile patients.
METHODS: A retrospective study was performed on 300 cases with elderly hip fracture selected from January 2011 to December 2012 from Department of Orthopedics, Gongli Hospital of Pudong. American Society of Anesthesiology score and Daping orthopedics operation risk scoring system for senile patients were conducted before treatment, and the predictive values of two scoring systems on the incidence of complications and mortality were compared.
RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: According to the American Society of Anesthesiology score and Daping orthopedics operation risk scoring system for senile patients, 148 cases and 97 cases had complications respectively. On the contrary, the actual number of complications was 89. The former predicted value was significantly higher than the actual value, and there was no significant difference between the latter forecast value and the actual value. The numbers of death predicted by American Society of Anesthesiology score and Daping orthopedics operation risk scoring system for senile patients were 27 cases and six cases, but the actual number of death was three cases, indicating that former predicted value was significantly higher than the actual value, and there was no significant difference between the latter predicted value and the actual value. The American Society of Anesthesiology score has a certain errors in predicting the postoperative complications and mortality of patients with elderly hip fractures, but it is simple and useful in clinic. The Daping orthopedics operation risk scoring system for senile patients can accurately evaluate elderly hip fracture operation risk, and can predict the postoperative complications and mortality more objective when compared with the American Society of Anesthesiology score.

Key words: hip fractures, aged, prognosis, postoperative complications, forecasting, preoperative period

CLC Number:

R318

Wu Liang, Yang Tie-yi, Hao Wei, Zhang Yan, Liu Yue, Fan Xin-bin . Predicting the prognosis of elderly hip fracture: Difference in two kinds of scores[J]. Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research, 2013, 17(48): 8437-8442.

Figures/Tables 3

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